Real Estate
European House Price Growth Decelerates; Asia, Americas Stronger – Knight Frank

The pace of growth in the European residential market has weakened, while Asia-Pacific and North America show stronger gains, according to a global survey by Knight Frank.
While overall global housing growth is on the up with more
countries recording a rise in house prices in the 12 months to
June than at any point since the start of the global financial
crisis, Europe is lagging behind, according to the latest Knight
Frank Global House Price Index.
The index revealed that the annual percentage change for house
prices for Europe was 2 per cent, compared to 3.6 Africa; 4.3 per
cent for Asia Pacific; 5.3 per cent for North America; 8.8 per
cent for South America and 16.1 per cent for the Middle East.
Knight Frank
said that the overall trajectory of the Global House Price Index
was upward, with 40 of the 54 countries tracked by the index
recording flat or rising prices on an annual basis.
However, despite more countries seeing positive price growth,
there appear to be signs of a “two speed Europe” emerging.
Turkey recorded a 14.09 per cent increase in house prices for the
year ending June 2014, while house prices in Ireland and the UK
increased 12.5 per cent and 11.6 per cent, respectively.
Firmly lodged at the bottom of the table were Cyprus (-9.2 per
cent) Greece (-7.9 per cent) and Slovenia (-7.4 per cent).
“The jury looks to be out on whether the European Central Bank
will commence a programme of quantitative easing. This would help
support some of the weakest performing EU markets but with some
economists making comparisons between current conditions in
Europe and Japan’s ‘lost decade’ it’s likely Europe will remain
the weakest performing world region for some time,” Knight Frank
said.
Globally, the survey presented a mixed picture for the quarter.
The average rate of annual growth has slowed from 7.1 per cent in
March to 5.2 per cent in June, but the rate of quarterly growth
picked up, rising from 0.6 per cent over the first quarter to 1.6
per cent in the second.
In Asia, Singapore recorded negative growth of -2.4 per cent for
the year, behind Hong Kong at 2.5 per cent. China saw annual
house prices grow 4.3 per cent, while Taiwan logged a 6.8 per
cent increase.
The US showed down in the rate of growth in the second quarter
with annual price growth of 6.2 per cent recorded in the year to
June, compared to 10.3 per cent in the year to March.
“Prices in the US may slow further as the stimulus used to aid
the economic recovery post 2007/8 continues to be withdrawn by
the Federal Reserve,” Knight Frank said.
Dubai topped the annual rankings for the fifth consecutive
quarter, recording annual price growth of 24 per cent. However,
this was down from 27.7 per cent in the year to March 2014.
“The Emirate’s mainstream market is outperforming the luxury end
of the market due in part to the mortgage rules introduced by the
UAE Central Bank which are less restrictive for those buying
residential property worth below AED 5 million,” the report said.