Banking Crisis
Singapore Turns On The Monetary Hosepipe
![Singapore Turns On The Monetary Hosepipe](http://www.wealthbriefing.com/cms/images/app/Singapore/SingaporeC300x288.jpg)
The jurisdiction is trying to bolster economic performance following downward revisions to growth forecasts.
Measures introduced in the latest Finance Bill 2016 to offer tax
relief on Peer To Peer (P2P) loans are a welcomed move that could
give individual investors higher returns on their savings, say
London Chartered Accountants Blick Rothenberg LLP.
Singapore’s central bank took markets by surprise in loosening
monetary policy yesterday, prompted by expectations that the
Asian city-state, one of the world’s major wealth management
hubs, is likely to grow more slowly than previously expected this
year, affected by slowing global growth.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore said its policy was not
designed to weaken the exchange rate of the Singapore dollar.
Rather, it followed the “measured steps the MAS has taken to
reduce the rate of appreciation of the policy band in October and
2015 respectively”.
Yesterday, the Singapore dollar fell 0.9 per cent against the US
dollar, the largest fall since November.
The jurisdiction has felt a chill from deceleration of growth in
China and parts of Southeast Asia. Previous curbs on forms of
leverage, designed to prevent its property market from
overheating in the past, also have had an impact.
The move is another example of central banks, such as those in
Denmark, Japan, Switzerland, the UK and European Central Bank,
adopting ultra-loose monetary policy in a bid to revive growth,
although debate remains on how far such money-printing can work.
“The Singapore economy is projected to expand at a more modest
pace in 2016 than envisaged in the October policy review. MAS
Core Inflation should also pick up more gradually over the course
of 2016 than previously anticipated, and is now likely to fall
below 2% on average over the medium term,” the MAS said in a
statement.
The central bank set the appreciation rate of its Singapore
dollar nominal effective exchange rate, or S$NEER, at zero
percent, taking effect from yesterday.
“Compared to expectations in October 2015, the Singapore economy
is now projected to expand at a more modest pace this year,
against the backdrop of a less favourable external environment.
MAS core Inflation is likely to pick up gradually over 2016 as
the disinflationary effects of budgetary and other one-off
measures fade. However, the increase in core inflation will be
milder than earlier expected, on account of a downward revision
in the outlook for global oil prices, a reduction in labour
market tightness, and weaker consumer sentiment. CPI-All Items
inflation will remain negative throughout 2016. Over the medium
term, core inflation is expected to average slightly below 2 per
cent,” it continued.
According to the Advance Estimates released by the Ministry of
Trade and Industry yesterday, the MAS said, the Singapore economy
was flat on a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted annualised
basis in Q1 2016, following the 6.2 per cent expansion in Q4
2015. While output in the manufacturing sector increased after
six quarters of contraction, this largely reflected a temporary
ramp-up in pharmaceutical production in January.
“The outlook for the global economy has dimmed since October. The
pace of expansion in the US economy is expected to be more modest
than earlier anticipated on account of weakening investment and
exports, even as the strengthening labour market continues to
underpin private consumption. In the Eurozone and Japan, economic
activity will be dampened by their appreciating currencies and
weak external demand, notwithstanding recent efforts to boost
growth through more accommodative monetary policy. China’s growth
momentum is likely to moderate, as its services sector expansion
is unlikely to be sufficiently strong to offset faltering
industrial activity, amid supply gluts and weak global demand.
The slower pace of growth in the G3 and China will in turn weigh
on trade-related activity in the rest of Asia,” it said.