Investment Strategies
After Post-Tariff Market Rout, Let's Talk About Behavioural Finance

There are many conversation points stemming from the large market selloffs that occurred in the US and rest of the world after Donald Trump announced a sweeping set of tariffs. One theme is investor behaviour itself, and how understanding this can reduce potential for mistakes.
Unsurprisingly, considering the $6 trillion-plus loss in value of
US stocks between 2 to 4 April and the volatility that has
continued since, investors are on edge. This is another occasion
to consider the insights of behavioural finance.
The term “behavioural finance,” a topic that was relatively
obscure within mainstream finance two decades ago, has become
more of a talking point. The term applies to understanding, for
example, how people mistake portfolio gains for pure skill rather
than also accept the role of chance or treat losses more
emotionally than they do with gains and follow crowd
behaviour.
These biases can lure investors into buying stocks when they are
expensive because of the “herd” mentality, or a sort of “FOMO”
effect – fear of missing out. And it can induce unwarranted
despair, leading people to selling assets in what, with
hindsight, was the bottom of the market. (A problem with all this
is that humans act based on necessarily imperfect information; we
are not omniscient, and no-one wants to be in the position of
being right, with hindsight, but still broke.)
A bank that has blazed a trail on behavioural finance is
Barclays.
Alexander Joshi, head of behavioural finance at Barclays Private
Bank, said it is crucial for bankers and advisors to
understand their clients’ mindset during periods of market
volatility, while also being aware of their own behavioural
biases.
“Recent market volatility is understandably unsettling for many
investors. Periods of uncertainty often heighten caution, leading
some clients to consider shying away from risk. As such,
understanding investor psychology becomes not just helpful, but
essential,” Joshi said in comments emailed to this
publication.
“Cautious investors may be susceptible to confirmation bias,
subconsciously seeking evidence to support their belief that
investing is too risky at present. Inevitably, they will find it.
At the same time, recency bias may cause investors to give
disproportionate weight to recent market events when
decision-making, shifting their focus away from longer-term
objectives. In bear markets, such behavioural biases tend to get
magnified; risks loom larger, and the worst-case scenarios
dominate attention. Yet often, the perception of the probability
of these outcomes is distorted,” he said.
(“Recency bias” refers to a cognitive bias that favours recent
events over historic ones.)
“Helping clients step back, revisit their goals, and maintain
perspective allows them to avoid reactive decisions and remain
aligned with their long-term plans. Some clients respond well to
data, while others need reassurance and empathetic dialogue.
Recognising individual differences in risk tolerance and
emotional response enables us to support clients more
effectively,” Joshi continued.
Advisors have their own biases, he noted.
“Our mindset also has a part to play here, too. As trusted
advisors, we influence how clients feel about markets, not just
what they know. If we sound rushed, anxious, or reactive, it’s
contagious. If we’re composed, balanced, and confident, it
creates stability. That’s why we must remain mindful of how
current turbulence affects not just our clients but our own
psychology too,” Joshi said.
Experience matters
The behavioural angle comes up when Miranda Seath, director of
market insights at the Investment
Association, the UK-based organisation, commented on the
aftermath of President Donald Trump’s tariffs announcement of 2
April.
In particular, Seath referred to how experience of volatility –
or the lack of such hard-earned experience – is an important
factor to track.
“If we look back at how investors and markets reacted to the most
significant market events in recent history – the 2008 Global
Financial Crisis and the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic – today’s
investors are operating against a very different backdrop,” Seath
said in a note.
“The time people have spent in the market will also influence
behaviours. IA and Opinium research from March 2025 found that
over a third of investors (38 per cent) started within the last
five years, meaning they likely have some experience of
volatility from both the pandemic and the gilt market crisis of
2022,” Seath said. “These investors have already been through a
significant market correction and whilst they saw the value of
their investments fall, they also experienced the
rebound.
“Others may be capitalising on the situation and 'buying the
dip' – upping their investments when market prices are low.
We saw this in IA data in March 2020 during the pandemic –
interestingly investors buying in favoured the UK, a fleeting
example of home bias. However, nearly a quarter of investors (24
per cent) started investing in the last year, according to our
latest research.
“These investors will not necessarily have experience of market
volatility. With many investors making decisions at the start of
the tax year, good communication and support will be crucial for
this group. When markets are turbulent, it is important to
maintain a long-term perspective and carefully consider any
investment decisions. Diversification across asset classes and
geographies can also help manage risk and market downturns. While
the uncertainty is set to continue in the near-term, staying
invested may be the best strategy,” Seath said.
Investment habits by time
Notes on chart: In 2025, the IA again partnered with Opinium
to conduct a survey about saving and investing habits in the run
up to the 2024/2025 ISA season. The survey fieldwork took place
between the 28 February 2025 and the 5 March 2025. We surveyed
three groups: • 1000 UK investors • 1000 UK Cash ISA or Junior
ISA holders • 2000 UK adults (18+) where the respondents were
weighted to be nationally representative of the UK adult
population. Source: IA.