Investment Strategies
Institutional Investors Favouring Alternatives As World Diverges - BlackRock Study

Monetary policy around the world is diverging and, along with other forces, is encouraging major investment groups to move into alternative assets, a study by BlackRock says.
Global institutional investors managing around $8 trillion will
push more money into alternative assets and less conventional
fixed income strategies as they focus on what they see as
diverging monetary policies and expected growth in developed
economies, a survey by BlackRock says.
Studying trends amongst the major institutions on a regional
scale, BlackRock found the anticipated changes within
the Asia-Pacific region largely mirror those on a global basis.
The survey was carried out in November and December last year
amongst BlackRock’s top 169 institutional investors.
“Mixed economic growth forecasts and shifting monetary policies
are significant challenges for our clients. These conditions are
testing investors’ ability to generate sufficient returns to meet
their long-term liabilities. In today’s environment, we advocate
proactive risk management. We believe institutional investors
should also consider alternative and non-traditional asset
allocations, particularly longer dated ones that allow
institutions to ride out the expected near-term volatility,” Mark
McCombe, senior managing director and global head of BlackRock’s
institutional client business, said in a statement.
Investors anticipate low rates will continue, with a resounding
74 per cent stating it was unlikely that the US 10-year Treasury
note would rise above a 3.5 per cent yield over the next year.
Meanwhile, 88 per cent of respondents believe it is unlikely
the US Federal Reserve will tighten too much too soon, the firm
said.
More than half of those surveyed (56 per cent) expect Europe to
enter a deflationary regime, yet they retain near universal
confidence in central bank policy, with two thirds (63 per cent)
stating that they believe that the European Central Bank will
maintain its credibility with investors. Slowing growth in China
is also anticipated, with more than two-thirds of respondents (69
per cent) expecting the country’s growth to dip below 7 per
cent.
When surveyed on asset allocation, BlackRock found an increased
investor appetite amongst investors for allocations to real
assets, real estate, private equity and unconstrained fixed
income. The firm examined allocation strategies on a regional
scale, and found that anticipated adjustments amongst
Asia-Pacific institutions largely dovetail with global
trends.
Some 64 per cent of Asian institutions anticipate increasing
allocations to real assets (compared to 60 per cent globally), 54
per cent plan to add to real estate and 43 per cent to private
equity (compared to 50 per cent and 47 per cent respectively on
an international basis). Within fixed income, Asian institutions
expect to decrease their allocations to high yield and long
duration, with unconstrained (41 per cent), emerging markets (38
per cent) and short duration (32 per cent) gaining favour.
“The trend towards alternatives isn’t new, but what is surprising
is the level of conviction institutions [have] towards physical
assets like real estate and infrastructure. We believe many
institutions are structurally under-invested in real assets, and
it is great to see they are more bullish on these strategies than
they were 12 months ago. The moves in fixed income are also
significant and highlight the importance of manager selection and
mandate flexibility in a time of yield scarcity,” added
McCombe.
BlackRock revealed that fixed income portfolios are changing
across the board, as investors move out of core and long duration
strategies on a global scale, instead increasing allocations to
unconstrained (35 per cent), emerging market debt (38 per cent),
US bank loans (33 per cent) and securitised assets (23 per cent).
Conversely, cash no longer reigns, as more than a quarter of
institutions (26 per cent) expect to reduce cash allocations, and
39 per cent will decrease investment in fixed income.
The US-listed asset management giant questioned institutions
including public and corporate pensions, official
institutions, insurers, investment managers, endowments and
foundations for the poll. Some 40 per cent of the
respondents were located in North America, 29 per cent in Europe,
the Middle East and Africa, 20 per cent in Asia-Pacific, and 11
per cent in South America.